Ceasefire declared over on Friday. By Monday, the US had hit over 300 targets in three nights, Iran had fired on five different Gulf states, and both countries were claiming completely different things about whether the Strait of Hormuz is even open. Trump says traffic is flowing. Iran’s own strait authority says passage is not possible until further notice.


Ship tracking data settles the argument better than either statement does, showing weekend traffic reduced to a trickle. Brent crude jumped to 78.14 dollars a barrel, and close to 6,000 sailors are currently stranded in the Gulf waiting for someone’s version of events to actually hold up.









